The Philippines has warned that tensions in the South China Sea (SCS) are unlikely to ease anytime soon, citing the growing complexity of the territorial dispute and geopolitical pressures.

Speaking at a virtual forum organized by the Stratbase ADR Institute on Tuesday, National Security Adviser Eduardo Año said potential flashpoints in the SCS continue to evolve, posing a significant threat to regional stability.

“The challenges in the South China Sea are unlikely to diminish soon,” Año said. “The situation is further complicated by rising geopolitical and geo-economic tensions, and shifting global security dynamics.”

He pointed to the Bajo de Masinloc (Scarborough Shoal) as a flashpoint between Manila and Beijing, accusing China of making territorial claims “far beyond what is recognized under international law.”

Año said that despite threats to the country’s maritime rights, the Philippines has consistently upheld the peace and the rule of law. “We are committed to sovereign equality and amity with all nations, even when our rights are endangered.”

He underscored that defending the West Philippine Sea (WPS) is both a national and global responsibility. “Preserving our territorial integrity is foundational and non-negotiable,” he said, urging international support for the lawful resolution of disputes.

Highlighting the economic stakes, Año noted that 60 percent of global commerce passes through the SCS. “Securing the WPS is crucial to the Philippines’ survival, prosperity, and global standing.”

China and the Philippines have been at odds over Scarborough Shoal since a 2012 standoff, with Beijing maintaining control despite a 2016 international ruling that invalidated China’s expansive claims. China has repeatedly blocked Filipino vessels and erected floating barriers, while ignoring the arbitral tribunal’s decision.

Año condemned China’s “aggressive” tactics, including its harassment of Filipino fishermen, its island building, use of water cannons and unauthorized research activities. He said these actions violate Philippine sovereignty and undermine international law.

In response, the Philippines has anchored its West Philippine Sea strategy on three pillars: preserving its territorial integrity, protecting its economic interests, and promoting regional stability, as outlined in its Security Policy 2023–2028.