“This is a long process. Ukraine is at war. It has organized crime issues to solve. It would be the third biggest country in the EU,” a European diplomat told AFP on condition of anonymity.
“The prospect of Ukraine enlargement happening soon never was realistic.”
Hungary’s Magyar, for one, has pledged a referendum on Kyiv joining if Ukraine completes all the negotiations “within the next 10 to 15 years.”
Beyond that, there seems to be a broader willingness to temper Kyiv’s ambitions — and growing talk of possible alternatives.
Estonian foreign minister Margus Tsahkna said that other countries reluctant on enlargement had been hiding behind Orban.
“Now Orban is gone, so quite many have come out from Orban’s shadow, and let’s see whether we have this unity about enlargement,” he said.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said in April that it was clear to everyone that the “immediate accession of Ukraine to the EU is, of course, not possible.”
Merz has proposed making Ukraine an “associate member” of the EU without voting rights, while Kyiv goes through the lengthy process of joining fully.
That plan has drawn skepticism from Ukraine, which fears that any suggested interim solutions will see it stranded permanently in a halfway house.
President Volodymyr Zelensky has insisted Ukraine’s accession should be “complete — with full rights.”
But there is a broader push to shake up the EU’s accession process as Ukraine, Moldova and other hopefuls knock on the door.