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Fact check: Trump $2,000 tariff dividend not yet issued

EMAILS promising immediate payments are scams, funds face legal hurdles.
EMAILS promising immediate payments are scams, funds face legal hurdles.Banner by Sheila Figueroa for Daily Tribune images.
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Claims circulating online that President Donald Trump’s $2,000 tariff dividend is immediately available are false. No official checks have been issued, and Americans are advised to ignore emails or texts urging them to “act” to secure funds.

The so-called “tariff dividend” originates from Trump’s proposal to share revenue generated from tariffs imposed on imported goods. These tariffs, enacted under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, raised approximately $200 billion to $289 billion in 2025, according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection and independent analysts. Trump suggested a $2,000 payout to low and middle-income Americans, but eligibility rules, timing, and delivery methods remain unclear.

Scammers have exploited the announcement. Emails from groups such as Major Gross Profit encourage recipients to click links or submit personal information, which can risk identity theft or malware exposure. Government experts warn that official distributions, if approved, would not require third-party action.

Screenshot of an email sent by Major Gross Profit on 16 January 2026.
Screenshot of an email sent by Major Gross Profit on 16 January 2026.Photo via WRAL / Capitol Broadcasting Company, Inc.

Legally, the checks face multiple obstacles. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and White House advisers have noted that congressional approval may be necessary for broad-based distribution. Additionally, the U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of Trump’s tariffs. If ruled unlawful, collected revenues could be refunded to importers, shrinking the pool of potential funds for dividends.

Previous stimulus programs under Trump, such as the COVID-19 economic impact payments and the $1,776 “Warrior Dividend” for military personnel, were issued directly to bank accounts using tax records, without third-party intermediaries. Experts say a similar approach would likely be used if the tariff dividend is approved.

Estimates suggest that a $2,000 per-person rebate would cost between $450 billion and $600 billion, exceeding the annual revenue from tariffs. This has led economists and budget watchdogs to question the feasibility of the program, noting that distributing funds as cash dividends would compete with deficit reduction and other federal spending priorities.

For now, Americans are advised to remain cautious and rely only on official government announcements regarding any potential tariff dividend.

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