After the US airstrike on Venezuela over the alleged involvement of the government with drug cartels, many Filipinos are now asking if the ICC will step in, in the same way it stepped in to arrest former president Rodrigo Duterte over the killings during his administration’s war on drugs.

Nosy Tarsee noted that X (formerly Twitter) exploded with indirect parallels, framing the US strike as akin to Duterte’s extrajudicial targeting of alleged drug figures without trial.

For instance, some pointed out the irony: if Duterte faces charges for killings in a domestic drug war, why not investigate the US for its actions that resulted in deaths on Venezuelan soil and waters?

Discussions also touched on US “interference,” with Duterte supporters accusing the ICC of being a Western tool, especially given Trump’s past sanctions on the court for probing US actions in Afghanistan.

Some users noted that Venezuela’s ICC membership could expose US officials to warrants.

This echoes in the Philippines, where pro-Duterte voices see it as evidence of selective justice — powerful actors like the US evade scrutiny while leaders like Duterte do not.

Both actions involved lethal force against alleged drug actors without judicial oversight.

Duterte’s campaign targeted “drug personalities” via police operations, resulting in deaths; US strikes have killed suspects on boats and docks without trials, drawing UN condemnation as breaches of human rights.

The ICC requires acts to be widespread and systematic. Duterte’s killings met this via documented patterns; the US strikes, if proven to involve civilian deaths or disproportionate force, could qualify, as suggested by experts.

In both cases, anti-drug rhetoric justified violence, raising questions about underlying motives such as political repression in the Philippines and geopolitical leverage in Venezuela.

The Philippines was an ICC member during Duterte’s crimes; Venezuela remains one, allowing the ICC to probe crimes on its territory, even by non-members like the US.

The US has never ratified the Rome Statute and has sanctioned the ICC under Trump in 2020, making enforcement unlikely.

The US claims its actions are lawful under counter-narcotics operations.

Duterte’s charges stem from direct state-orchestrated killings of civilians. The Venezuelan government’s “alleged drug cartel involvement” via the Cartel of the Suns isn’t inherently a crime against humanity unless tied to violence against civilians.

The ICC already investigated Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro for political repression in 2018, but drug ties alone won’t trigger new charges without evidence of atrocities.

The US strikes targeted the government indirectly, but critics argue they’re acts of war without congressional approval.

Duterte’s war had verifiable mass killings with witness testimonies; the US strikes have reported deaths, eight in one incident, but are framed as precision operations against drug traffickers, with limited independent verification.

Questions remain over the uneven global justice. Duterte, from a relatively poor nation, faces ICC heat, while US actions draw condemnation but no immediate consequences.

The ICC has been accused of bias against African and smaller states, rarely touching UN Security Council members.

If the strikes escalate into a full invasion, Venezuela could refer the matter to the ICC, but enforcement against US officials would be symbolic at best, given US non-cooperation.

For Venezuelan leaders, the strikes might bolster existing ICC probes into Maduro if evidence links government drug involvement to civilian harm. But unlike Duterte’s explicit “kill lists,” Venezuela’s issues are more about corruption and repression than direct anti-drug killings.

In sum, while parallels exist in the use of force against drug networks, the ICC is more likely to condemn or investigate the US strikes indirectly (via UN channels) than issue warrants, due to the political realities.