The declining profitability of San Miguel Corporation's energy unit San Miguel Global Power Holdings Corp. has affected the capability of the company to meet near-term financial obligations, according to a report of the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, or IEEFA.

Local groups held a forum on Wednesday ahead of the 133rd anniversary of the Adian conglomerate that focused on the "losing strategy" of maintaining its dependence imported fossil fuel with its planned shift from traditional coal to liquefied natural gas, or LNG.

Think tank Center for Energy, Ecology and Development indicated during the event that SMGPH is implementing "a losing strategy that is having devastating consequences on shareholders and investors, energy consumers, and the environment."

"While SMC is pursuing the country's further dependence on fossil fuel, it is also losing on the actual energy transition development. SMC had lost in the race to secure new permits for renewable energy capacity, which will be built in the next two to three years," Gerry Arances, CEED executive director, said.

Sam Reynolds, author of an Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, or IEEFA, report titled San Miguel Global Power: Fossil fuel-oriented growth strategy raises financial red flags, said the article detailed the financial issues SMC faces because of its reliance on coal and gas.

IEEFA is a Detroit-based advisory group for energy industry strategies.

He warned the company's overexposure to volatile fossil fuel prices could sink its financial health and that "SMGPH's overreliance on fossil fuels has weakened its financial health — moving from coal to LNG is not going to solve the fundamental problem of overexposure to fossil fuel prices."

SMGPH debts are falling due between 2024 and 2026, according to the study.

The company's financial position would likely remain inadequate to address the callable perpetual securities, amounting to $3.4 billion (P193 billion).

"SMGPH could face a double-edged sword. On one hand, the need to redeem perpetual securities demands additional capital or funding. On the other, opting not to exercise the call option subjects the company to additional financial costs, further straining its financial position," according to IEEFA.