Back in 2016, exactly nine years ago today, an international court in The Hague handed the Philippines a significant win in its dispute with China over the West Philippine Sea.
The ruling rejected China’s sweeping “nine-dash line” claim and confirmed the Philippines’ rights over its waters. But years later, that decision remains just words on paper — because China brushed it aside. This situation forces us to ask: what good is a legal victory if there’s no real diplomacy to back it up?
The law stated one thing, but reality said something else. The court’s decision was clear. China’s claims had no legal basis, and its island-building and environmental damage were unacceptable.
For the Philippines, this was a proud moment — proof that international law was on its side.
But China’s response? A shrug, followed by even more ships and military structures in the disputed waters. The lesson here was harsh but true: a court ruling alone can’t change the facts on the ground. Without diplomacy or intense international pressure, even the fairest legal decision can end up ignored.
So, has diplomacy taken a back seat?
Under President Benigno Aquino, the Philippines bet heavily on legal action, and it won — at least on paper. But China didn’t budge. In fact, tensions only grew. When later President Duterte shifted to a softer approach, critics called it weak, but it did ease some friction and even brought small economic benefits. This tells us something important: law and diplomacy aren’t opposites — they need to work together. Going all-in in legal battles without consulting the opposing side might feel righteous, but it doesn’t always lead to genuine solutions.
This case exposed a flaw in international law: who enforces the rules? It appears that it only works if countries agree to cooperate. Powerful nations like China can disregard rulings they dislike, leaving smaller countries such as the Philippines in a tough spot. Do they keep pushing legal victories that go nowhere, or do they negotiate from a weaker position? If countries rely solely on courts without engaging in diplomacy, they risk ending up isolated rather than finding common ground.
The 2016 Hague ruling may have demonstrated that international law matters. However, legal wins alone aren’t enough — without genuine diplomacy, the ruling risks becoming merely a symbolic triumph.
In geopolitics, laws require power to back them up, and diplomacy needs a legal foundation to be effective.
Suffice it to say that true peace in the West Philippine Sea won’t come from court decisions alone. It demands dialogue, compromise, and strong international backing. The challenge? Balancing firm legal standing with smart diplomacy to turn that victory into real change.
This dispute teaches us a crucial lesson: law without diplomacy is powerless, and diplomacy without law is directionless. This isn’t just about lines on a map. To secure our future, we must fight for both. One without the other just doesn’t work. The path forward requires a unified Philippine stance across administrations.
The question now is: how do we turn this legal win into a lasting result?