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OPINION

Contrary to perception, the Philippines is steadily rising

The new classification is expected to strengthen the country’s credit profile, boost investor confidence and expand access to financing and higher-quality investments that generate better jobs for Filipinos.

Rogelio V. Quevedo·17 July 2026, 11:32 pm·1 MIN READ

Contrary to perception, the Philippines is steadily rising
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  • For nearly four decades, the Philippines carried a label that understated its potential and reinforced a narrative of persistent underachievement. On 1 July 2026, the World Bank removed that label.

    The Philippines has been officially reclassified as an upper-middle income economy, after its gross national income per capita reached US$4,850 in 2025, surpassing the US$4,636 threshold required for the new classification.

    The upgrade ends the country’s nearly four-decade stay in the lower-middle income category. It is a milestone worth understanding clearly because both its significance and its limitations matter.

    What drove the upgrade? Not a single boom sector, not a commodity windfall, and not a statistical sleight of hand.

    The World Bank cited the Philippines’ broad-based economic growth, reflecting gains across all major industries rather than just a single sector.

    From 2021 to 2025, the Philippine economy posted an average GDP growth of 5.8 percent, while strong expansion across major industries helped increase GNI per capita by 8.5 percent in 2025. This is good news precisely because it is not fragile. Growth built on many pillars is more resilient than growth built on one.

    The digital economy tells part of that story in vivid terms. Filipinos moved more than P16 trillion in funds through the InstaPay and PESONet systems in the first half of 2026 alone, a 45-percent surge in value from the previous year, with transaction volumes reaching 4.2 billion, up 162 percent year-on-year. These are not abstract figures. They represent millions of Filipinos conducting commerce, paying bills, and running businesses through systems that did not exist in their current form a decade ago.

    The formal economy is not just growing. It is deepening.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission sees this from a particular vantage point. Companies entering the formal economy must pass through the Commission, and the numbers from the first half of 2026 are telling. The SEC received 21,093 new applications for incorporation during the period. Of these, 15,947 were completed through the ESPARC system, achieving a 96.78-percent completion rate. More than 82 percent of completed applications were processed digitally, through the Commission’s Regular Zero and ONESEC Zero pathways. Domestic entrepreneurs and foreign investors alike are choosing to formalize, to register, to participate in the regulated economy. That is confidence expressed in paperwork, and it matters.

    The reclassification carries real consequences. The new classification is expected to strengthen the country’s credit profile, boost investor confidence and expand access to financing and higher-quality investments that generate better jobs for Filipinos.

    At the same time, it forces the country to confront the middle income trap that has stalled many other developing economies on their path to high income status. The upgrade is an achievement, not an arrival.

    DEPDev Secretary Arsenio Balisacan acknowledged that the new classification does not diminish ongoing challenges, noting that income disparities persist, and many continue to face economic difficulties. That honesty is appropriate. Upper-middle income status means the economy is larger and more capable. It does not mean the work is done.

    For the SEC, the task remains the same: build the institutional infrastructure that allows the formal economy to grow with integrity. Transparent markets, enforceable rules, accessible registration, and investor protection are not bureaucratic amenities. They are the foundations on which sustained, inclusive growth is built.

    The Philippines has moved up. The Commission’s job is to help it stay there and go further.

    • World Bank
    • Philippine economy
    • Philippines upper-middle-income

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