In June 2025, the western seaboard of Central Luzon, the eastern portion of Northern Luzon, including Aurora and Quezon, as well as parts of Mindanao, experienced above-normal rainfall.

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Weather Specialist 1 May Escol-Canlas said most of the rainfall was observed in the western section of the country due to the southwest monsoon.

For the month of June, portions of extreme Northern Luzon and the northern portion of Panay island received below normal rainfall.

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) status remains neutral, Escol-Canlas said.

“The tropical Pacific remains under ENSO-neutral conditions, so our ENSO alert is on inactive, or neutral status,” the weather specialist said.

Citing different climate models, she said the ENSO conditions are expected to remain until the first three months of 2026.

PAGASA said the typhoons this year will be “less severe” than last year when six consecutive typhoons battered Luzon.

Last April, PAGASA terminated its La Niña alert after noting that La Niña conditions were not present in the central and equatorial Pacific.

Normal amounts of rainfall are forecast in most parts of the Philippines from July to September, while above-normal rainfall is expected in Southern Luzon, the Bicol Region and MIMAROPA beginning October.

Between 10 to 18 tropical cyclones are expected to form within the Philippine Area of Responsibility through December 2025.