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With bulging in-tray, Ishiba becomes Japan PM

Shigeru Ishiba
Leader of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Shigeru Ishiba (C top) stands up to acknowledge the applause after he was selected as the new prime minister during an extraordinary session of the lower house of parliament in Tokyo on 1 October 2024. Photo courtesy of Yuichi YAMAZAKI / AFP
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Shigeru Ishiba became Japanese prime minister on Tuesday, seeking to restore the ruling party's popularity and tackle a demographic crisis, a lackluster economy and fears over China's military build-up.

Ishiba, 67, says he intends to call a general election for October 27. He won a tight race on Friday to lead the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has governed almost constantly for decades.

Japan's parliament, where the LDP has a majority, approved Ishiba's appointment on Tuesday afternoon, and he was expected to announce his cabinet later in the day.

Former chief cabinet secretary Katsunobu Kato was tipped to become finance minister, while Gen Nakatani will take defense and Takeshi Iwaya foreign affairs, local media said.

Ishiba, who has held at least three previous ministerial posts, is a self-confessed defense "geek" who tried and failed four times before to become LDP leader.

He finally succeeded this time because, while a divisive figure within the party, he is -- unlike predecessor Fumio Kishida -- relatively popular among voters, analysts said.

Ishiba's win "indicates that the LDP sought an experienced leader with broad voter appeal to steer the party in the next national election," said Yuko Nakano of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"If the ruling coalition secures a fresh mandate (in the election), Ishiba will have the opportunity to reshape the party's internal dynamics and restore public confidence, while addressing Japan's broader challenges, including economic stagnation felt by many voters and regional security concerns," she said.

Tumbling stocks

Markets, however, have reacted negatively, with the Nikkei plunging almost five percent on Monday. On Tuesday, the index recovered some ground and closed up 1.9 percent.

Ishiba's backing of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan has sent the yen higher, while the prospect of corporate tax hikes has worried investors.

One major area of government spending is the military.

Kishida undertook to double defense spending and boost ties with the United States and other countries rattled by China's rise and the behaviour of Russia and North Korea.

Last week, a Japanese warship sailed through the Taiwan Strait for the first time. A week earlier, a Chinese aircraft carrier steamed between two Japanese islands near Taiwan.

Japan has also scrambled fighter jets on multiple occasions in recent weeks to respond to activity by Russian and Chinese aircraft, including in its airspace.

Ishiba, who visited Taiwan in August, backs the creation in the region of a military alliance along the lines of NATO with its tenet of collective defense.

"Replacing Russia with China and Ukraine with Taiwan, the absence of a collective self-defense system like NATO in Asia means that wars are likely to break out because there is no obligation for mutual defense," Ishiba said in a recent policy paper.

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