Fed exec signals rate cuts coming

Fed exec signals rate cuts coming | Daily Tribune

With inflation easing and the labor market cooling, it will likely be appropriate for the US Federal Reserve to make a series of interest rate cuts in the coming months, a senior official said Friday.

“I believe the time has come to lower the target range for the federal funds rate at our upcoming meeting,” said Fed governor Christopher Waller, referring to the central bank’s policy meeting from 17 to 18 September.

Regina Capital Development Corp. managing director Luis Limlingan said local shares managed to eke gains last week as the positive inflation data managed to carry over into the weekend.

“US stocks dropped as investors grew wary of the economic outlook. Private payrolls showed their weakest growth since 2021, while jobless claims fell,” Limlingan added.

“Furthermore, I do not expect this first cut to be the last,” Walleradded in a speech in Indiana.

But choosing the right pace for cuts will be challenging, said Waller, a voting member of the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee.

He said he was “open-minded” about the size and pace of cuts, but decisions would be data-dependent.

Job market cools

Waller’s comments come after a US government report earlier Friday showed the jobs market cooling in recent months without a collapse in hiring or surge in unemployment.

The world’s biggest economy added 142,000 jobs last month — less than analysts expected — while job creation in June and July was revised lower.

The unemployment rate edged down from 4.3 percent to 4.2 percent, according to the Department of Labor.

‘US stocks dropped as investors grew wary of the economic outlook. Private payrolls showed their weakest growth since 2021, while jobless claims fell.’

“The current batch of data no longer requires patience, it requires action,” Waller said.

He added that Friday’s jobs report furthers a longer-term trend of softening in the labor market, and this is consistent with moderate growth in economic activity.

But he stressed that “while the labor market has clearly cooled, based on the evidence I see, I do not believe the economy is in a recession or necessarily headed for one soon.”

There may be employment risks, but Waller added that there is “substantial evidence that the economy retains the strength and momentum to keep growing, supported by an appropriate loosening of monetary policy.”

On Friday, New York Fed president John Williams also said he believes it is now appropriate to “dial down the degree of restrictiveness” in policy by reducing the target range for the federal funds rate.