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DoH: 80 percent of new cases come from 11-30 percent of barangays, select HUCs in NCR Plus

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Eighty percent of the new Covid-19 cases in the recent two weeks came from 11 to 30 percent of barangays in the National Capital Region (NCR) areas and select highly urbanized cities in NCR, the Department of Health (DoH) said Wednesday.

The DoH said the spatio-temporal analysis of data in NCR Plus areas and select HCUs in NCR was used to support the new Covid-19 protocol in NCR.

“The analysis supports the move to focus on imposing granular lockdowns on selected areas rather than wide scale lockdowns of entire provinces, highly urbanized cities, and independent component cities, which heavily impact the livelihood of Filipinos,” the agency added.

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire also said that the community quarantine classifications are no longer effective due to mobilization of the public despite the hard lockdown imposed last August.

“Additionally, wide-scale lockdowns might no longer be effective since data shows that the majority of Filipinos in NCR were mobile during the enhanced community quarantine on August 10 than the previous ECQ last April 2021 as more essential activities and workers were allowed,” Vergeire said.

“The DoH and FASSSTER find that based on a set of assumptions, total active cases in NCR by 30 September may range from 152,000 to 330,000 cases,” she added.

The official clarified that the active cases projection is “not cast in stone” since lower case projections are achieved if the public will improve adherence to the minimum public health standards, reduce case detection to isolation time, and increase vaccination coverage even at lower or less restrictive community quarantines.

The DoH also added that the country is moving towards “more targeted and recalibrated actions towards high-risk activities, imposing these localized or granular lockdowns at the household and barangay level and implementing targeted response strategies to prevent transmission and reduce strain on the livelihood of Filipinos.”

With this, the agency urged local government units to conduct active case findings, reduce the time for case detection to isolation, and improve vaccine coverage to lower Covid-19 cases.

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