PAGASA: 2 tropical cyclones expected

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration on Thursday reported that up to two tropical cyclones will likely enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility this month.

PAGASA said the northeast monsoon or amihan including the shear line and a possible occurrence of a low-pressure area will affect the country's weather condition during the observance of Undas 2023.

The next tropical cyclones will be named "Kabayan" and "Liwayway", respectively.

PAGASA's climatological record also showed that there are four potential cyclone tracks in November, including a tropical cyclone may form in the western Pacific and enter the PAR, but may recurve towards the northeastern part of the PAR before moving toward Japan or Korea.

This cyclone may not make landfall over the Philippines.

Other potential tracks are that a cyclone may make landfall in Southern Luzon, Northern Luzon, or Central Luzon, before recurving toward Japan or Korea; a cyclone may make landfall in the central Philippines, before moving toward Vietnam; or a cyclone may make landfall in southern Visayas, before moving toward Thailand.

PAGASA also forecasts that one to two tropical cyclones may enter PAR until the end of December.

Meanwhile, the state weather bureau said cloudy with scattered rains and thunderstorms will prevail over the Quezon province, Bicol region, and eastern Visayas until today due to the combined effects of shear line and LPA.

PAGASA warned floods and landslides are possible in low-lying areas and in mountainous areas due to prolonged rains.

Meantime, PAGASA said that the El Niño phenomenon will continue to persist in the tropical Pacific and increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall "which could bring negative impacts such as dry spells and droughts in some areas of the country" last quarter of this year up to the first quarter next year.