“Some mayoralty races in regions are too predictable to be interesting, such as in Davao City, where the presidential daughter, Sara, is expected to run and win another term.
Politicians will always be politicians, that’s for sure, even when they clearly don’t make it in pre-poll surveys and, worse, on election day.
They who are not likely to make it as senator, and know it too, still file their certificates of candidacy (CoC) and one truly wonders why they do.
Do they run to get a part of campaign donations? Perhaps, this would apply to some bets.
However, with the usual contributors knowing their chances of not making it at all through surveys made public, the same politicians also know that they won’t be getting a sizable amount by way of monetary donations. Money usually pours in for strong senatorial bets of any party. More money usually floods from donors in presidential polls.
Do likely losers then just want to get publicity by running for a seat in the Senate? Not being political superstars, at most, they just get a one day mention in the media and perhaps only because they had filed their CoC on the first day.
Truth is, these candidates who will not make it at all may not be considered nuisance candidates by the Commission on Elections.
However, these same no-win senatorial candidates should do the electorate and the Comelec the big favor by giving up their plan to run for seats in the Senate, to at least save the Comelec from coming up with an overly long-sized ballot due to the fact that there would be too many names included in the ballot. This would cause the voter to take a longer time to fill out the ballot which, in turn, may cause more delays in getting more voters waiting in line to enable them to vote at a faster pace.
Of course it’s still early days and survey rankings of even the more likely winners are not that certain at this time. However, it is just as evident that none of these likely losing senatorial bets who were the early birds in filing their CoC is likely to win Senate seats.
Do senatorial aspirants such as singer Freddie Aguilar and Neri Colmenares, who already lost his bid for a Senate seat in a previous senatorial election land a Senate seat? There certainly are more of them who will not make it, simply because they do not have the electorate’s support and are not likely to have enough votes from them to win a seat.
Congressmen run in a different type of race, with less numbers of voters as congressional winners are elected by districts and, in reality, congressional races are hardly of national interest, except in their respective districts.
The same goes to gubernatorial and mayoralty races, with some exceptions for mayoralty races, especially in the matter of Metro Manila which is of great national interest, such as the mayoralty polls in the cities of Manila, Makati, Quezon and other big cities in Metro Manila.
“Do they run to get a part of campaign donations? Perhaps, this would apply to some bets.
Some mayoralty races in regions are too predictable to be interesting, such as in Davao City, where the presidential daughter, Sara, is expected to run and win another term and for the presidential son, Paolo Duterte, to run for a seat in Congress. Both are expected to win their seats.
The same situations happen during presidential elections, with so many registering as presidential candidates even knowing that many of them will never make it to the presidency. Even records will hardly ever mention them in historical election records.
Interestingly, Foreign Affairs Secretary Alan Cayetano, a former senator, has bared his intention to run—but not for the Senate, since he was quoted as saying that he wants to run for a seat in the House of Representatives, as a representative of Taguig-Pateros, which is a sure win for the Cayetanos.
However, Alan Cayetano has even bigger ambitions as he is angling for the speakership.
Can Cayetano pull off a speakership role?
It would be interesting though in the next Congress, when former Vice President Jojo Binay and Alan Cayetano will (likely) be in the same lower house and have some kind of repeat verbal slugfest in Congress.